Holy Cross
W-L: ( 7-10) PR = 83.6117Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (16- 3, 89.5) 8-17 210 H Albany America Eas (12- 6, 84.2) 6- 9 214 H Stonehill Northeast (13- 7, 78.5) 18- 8 219 A Brown Ivy League ( 8- 7, 89.2) 5-15 227 H Bryant America Eas (10- 7, 83.6) 13-11 302 A Dartmouth Ivy League ( 8- 7, 90.2) 8-16 307 A Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.1) 18- 7 314 A Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 80.4) 12- 9 321 H Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 3-18 324 A Harvard Ivy League ( 6- 9, 88.8) 9-17 328 A Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.3) 17-13 404 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 11-12 411 A American Patriot ( 4-12, 78.8) 7-14 415 A Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 6-17 418 H Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 14- 9 423 H Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.5) 12- 8 426 A Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 13-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Massachusetts 8-17 -9 -7 -1.77
210 H Albany 6- 9 -3 1 - -3.76
214 H Stonehill 18- 8 10 6 + 3.53
219 A Brown 5-15 -10 -7 - -3.04
227 H Bryant 13-11 2 1 0.64
302 A Dartmouth 8-16 -8 -8 -0.02
307 A Lafayette 18- 7 11 3 +++ 7.85
314 A Lehigh 12- 9 3 2 1.12
321 H Navy 3-18 -15 -8 -- -5.95
324 A Harvard 9-17 -8 -7 -1.44
328 A Colgate 17-13 4 1 + 3.10
404 H Bucknell 11-12 -1 1 -1.96
411 A American 7-14 -7 3 --- -10.41
415 A Army 6-17 -11 -9 -1.79
418 H Loyola (MD) 14- 9 5 -5 +++ 9.55
423 H Boston University 12- 8 4 0 + 3.56
426 A Bucknell 13-14 -1 -2 0.78
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A American 7-14 -7 3 --- -10.41 321 H Navy 3-18 -15 -8 -- -5.95 210 H Albany 6- 9 -3 1 - -3.76 219 A Brown 5-15 -10 -7 - -3.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Lafayette 18- 7 11 3 +++ 7.85 418 H Loyola (MD) 14- 9 5 -5 +++ 9.55 214 H Stonehill 18- 8 10 6 + 3.53 328 A Colgate 17-13 4 1 + 3.10 423 H Boston University 12- 8 4 0 + 3.56 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Massachusetts (16- 3, 89.5) 8-17 -10.43 29.74 1.37 1.02 -4.62
3 H Albany (12- 6, 84.2) 6- 9 -15.69 24.48 -1.37 1.02 -8.69
3 H Stonehill (13- 7, 78.5) 18- 8 -21.40 18.77 -1.37 1.02 35.47
3 A Brown ( 8- 7, 89.2) 5-15 -10.69 29.48 1.37 1.02 -4.75
3 H Bryant (10- 7, 83.6) 13-11 -16.28 23.89 -1.37 1.02 45.90
3 A Dartmouth ( 8- 7, 90.2) 8-16 -9.67 30.50 1.37 1.02 -4.23
3 A Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.1) 18- 7 -20.80 19.36 1.37 1.02 42.25
3 A Lehigh ( 6-10, 80.4) 12- 9 -19.54 20.63 1.37 1.02 44.83
3 H Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 3-18 -6.87 33.29 -1.37 1.02 -4.20
3 A Harvard ( 6- 9, 88.8) 9-17 -11.10 29.07 1.37 1.02 -4.96
3 A Colgate ( 5-10, 81.3) 17-13 -18.56 21.61 1.37 1.02 46.83
3 H Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 11-12 -15.88 24.29 -1.37 1.02 -8.79
3 A American ( 4-12, 78.8) 7-14 -21.06 19.11 1.37 1.02 -10.03
3 A Army (15- 5, 91.5) 6-17 -8.45 31.72 1.37 1.02 -3.61
3 H Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 14- 9 -10.37 29.80 -1.37 1.02 57.95
3 H Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.5) 12- 8 -15.36 24.81 -1.37 1.02 47.78
3 A Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 13-14 -15.88 24.29 1.37 1.02 -7.39
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259.75
|
winning pts = 321.0158 losing points = -61.2627
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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